Update On Tropics: Possible Tropical Development This Week…



1. Eastern Atlantic:
A tropical wave is located a couple of hundred miles to the southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Conditions are expected to be favorable for gradual development of this system later this week and into the weekend while it moves westward to west-northwestward over the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…30 percent.

Forecaster Pasch

Discussion Courtesy of the NHC
_____________________________________________________________

Video Chapters:
0:00 – Intro
0:31 – Area To Watch
2:02 – Latest NHC Forecast
3:26 – 12z Global Model Guidance
13:40 – SST Update Atlantic/GOM
17:06 – Upper Ocean Heat Content
22:08 – Climatology
24:26 – Outro/Promotion

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33 Replies to “Update On Tropics: Possible Tropical Development This Week…”

  1. Jaybyrd says:

    Your videos are the best

  2. Do you use photoshop to use trilogy maps

  3. Destiny says:

    Yeah let the people know

  4. 2029 or 2030 is when we were scheduled to breach the “aspirational” never-exceed level of 1.5 degrees Celsius higher average global temperature if emissions continued on the current track, but somebody forgot to allow for the fact that there’s an El Niño every three to seven years. Oops!

  5. 2027-2029 La Nina (2 years), then would be a 2029-30, a Strong El Nino perhaps?

  6. Any comments I make about hurricane preparedness, as always this time of year for more than a decade, are targeted instantly by YouTube for auto deletion because they WANT STORM DEATHS! I am ready at this point to do something drastic…except nobody knows where to find these mass murdering monsters.

  7. Aaron Jones says:

    Awesome video David. 👍🙂

  8. Thanks again David! very informative and educational

  9. Joe Karoly says:

    There was significant damage here in wayne michigan a lot of people with out power from 75 mph winds do you think there could be a slight risk on Friday for southeast michigan

  10. The fact that you connect with Dr.Cowan,tells me how smart you are!

  11. I am Watchung g the Gulf,that little something could intensify if it gets in the loop current,Thats what Katrina did

  12. Thanks for the update 👍

  13. Critics will make you better! You don't want to be like every other jack ass on YouTube. You have great graphics and a personality to be a professional.

    Professional meteorologists are very careful in what they say. One of the best is James Spann. All the storm chasers and weather geeks know of him.

    He is on NBC news but also gives 2 youtube videos a day. He is like a legend. I wish you could watch his videos and learn from an old timer that has been around a long time.

    Out of all the youtube weather people, though, I think you are the best.

  14. Laft Outloud says:

    Hello from Winchester Virginia! You are awesome, continue to be as you are, love how you portray yourself. You will be rewarded for your hard work. Your audience loves you.please ignore gaslighting comments from entities that do not have your best interests on their mind. Is it one, two, 2,000 etc? This evil entity doesn’t deserve your response. So, respectfully, carry on Dude ❤😉

  15. She Cares says:

    If it doesnt happen now it will happen soon. 101.1 degree water at key west is a disaster just begging to happen. If your in Hurricane country I HIGHLY suggest if the aurhorities recommend leaving that you take them seriously. PLEASE, HAVE A PLAN TO MOVE FAST. GET YOUR THINGS IN ORDER NOW!!! This is warming up to be the worst hurrican season in history.

  16. I agree with @gregd. Remember David, ignore the creeps!!
    Great update for the East..
    We had monsoon weather here!!

  17. Fort Myers/Cape Coral here …yup, my eyes are wide open watching…usually we want a small one to take some heat out but at this point, I'm figuring a big one first collecting all that heat before we get any small ones

  18. This is clickbait…

    jk I wouldn't do that to you

  19. David don't listen to trolls

  20. Robert glynn says:

    And also that storm is not getting picked up by that diplodocus

  21. THESE QUESTIONS OF RIGHTLY GUIDANCE, KJVHB? WHO ARE THE 3RD AND 4TH GENERATIONS THAT TRANSGRESS AGAINST GOD IN THE 10 COMMANDMENTS (EXODUS 20)? WHO ARE THE 1ST AND 2ND GENERATIONS AS WELL MY FRIENDS? PLEASE LIST THEM! IF YOU CAN’T ANSWER THIS, YOU WILL NOT BE ABLE TO SOLVE THE CONTRADICTIONS!!!

    IN JAMES 5- KING JAMES V(CH.5) ER SION- ELIJAH SAYS HE WISHED IT NEVER RAINED! WHY DOES ELIJAH SAY HE WISHED IT NEVER RAINED? FURTHERMORE, WHEN DOES IT RAIN FOR THE FIRST TIME, KJVHB? JAMES 5 HELPS DEFINE WHO THE 3RD AND 4TH GENERATIONS ARE (GENESIS 5:1), AND THE 1ST AND 2ND GENERATIONS AS WELL (GENESIS 2:4)!

    THESE TWO VERSES ARE VERY IMPORTANT- MALACHI 3:6-8- “I CHANGE NOT, SAITH THE LORD”! 2PETER 3:2-5- “ALL THINGS REMAIN THE SAME AS FROM THE BEGINNING OF CREATION”!

    THE BOOKS OF PAUL ARE TWO DIMENSIONAL ALSO- COVET (CORINTHIANS 12:31)/DO NOT COVET (EPHESIANS 5:5-16…SIN (EXODUS 34:7)/DON’T SIN (CORINTHIANS 15:33-40)…BE CIRCUMCISED/BE UNCIRCUMCISED…FOLLOW THE LAW/NO LAW…DO ONTO OTHERS AS YE’D HAVE THEM DO UNTO YOU, LOVE THY NEIGHBOR AS THYSELF, EYE FOR AN EYE, TOOTH FOR A TOOTH! WHAT IS THE LAW TO BEGIN WITH MY FRIENDS? WHERE IS THIS LAW LOCATED IN THE KJVHB? WHAT IS CIRCUMCISN EXACTLY (GALATIANS 5:14,15/ZECHARIAH 11:4-6)? WHAT IS THE BIBLICAL DEFINITION OF SIN AND TRANSGRESSION (SAMUEL 14:32,33/ROMANS 14:15-23)? IF YOU CANNOT ANSWER THESE QUESTIONS, HOW CAN WE BE RIGHTLY

  22. No worries, David! Love your channel. You’re the only weather channel I follow on social media because I enjoy watching your videos. Keep up the great work!

  23. good afternoon, David. I am just going to predict that this one (AOI) dissipates closer to the Caribbean islands. (Let's hope!) And my prediction is just what I would like to see lol Our countries need a break from horrible weather. Thanks for the video David! enjoy your evening

  24. Jeremiah 25. The Cup of Judgment on the Nations. C. B.

    I will bring upon that land all the words that I have uttered against it, everything written in this book, which Jeremiah prophesied against all the nations. 
    14For many nations and great kings shall make slaves of them also; and I will repay them according to their deeds and the work of their hands.

    15 For thus the Lord, the God of Israel, said to me: Take from my hand this cup of the wine of wrath, and make all the nations to whom I send you drink it. 
    16They shall drink and stagger and go out of their minds, they shall go mad, because of the sword that I am sending among them.

    17 So I took the cup from the Lord’s hand, and made all the nations to whom the Lord sent me drink it: 
    18Jerusalem and the towns of Judah, its kings and officials, to make them a desolation and a waste, an object of hissing and of cursing, as they are today; 
    19Pharaoh king of Egypt, his servants, his officials, and all his people; 20all the mixed people; all the kings of the land of Uz; all the kings of the land of the Philistines—Ashkelon, Gaza, Ekron, and the remnant of Ashdod; 
    21Edom, Moab, and the Ammonites; 
    22all the kings of Tyre, all the kings of Sidon, and the kings of the coastland across the sea; 
    23Dedan, Tema, Buz, and all who have shaven temples; 
    24all the kings of Arabia and all the kings of the mixed peoples that live in the desert; 
    25all the kings of Zimri, all the kings of Elam, and all the kings of Media; 
    26all the kings of the north, far and near, one after another, and all the kingdoms of the world that are on the face of the earth. And after them the king of Sheshach shall drink.

    27 Then you shall say to them, Thus says the Lord of hosts, the God of Israel: Drink, get drunk and vomit, fall and rise no more, because of the sword that I am sending among you.

    28 And if they refuse to accept the cup from your hand to drink, then you shall say to them: Thus says the Lord of hosts: You must drink! 
    29See, I am beginning to bring disaster on the city that is called by my name, and how can you possibly avoid punishment? You shall not go unpunished, for I am summoning a sword against all the inhabitants of the earth, says the Lord of hosts.

    30 You, therefore, shall prophesy against them all these words, and say to them:
    The Lord will roar from on high,
       and from his holy habitation utter his voice;
    he will roar mightily against his fold,
       and shout, like those who tread grapes,
       against all the inhabitants of the earth.
    31 The clamour will resound to the ends of the earth,
       for the Lord has an indictment against the nations;
    he is entering into judgement with all flesh,
       and the guilty he will put to the sword,

    says the Lord.

    32 Thus says the Lord of hosts:
    See, disaster is spreading
       from nation to nation,
    and a great tempest is stirring
       from the farthest parts of the earth!

    33 Those slain by the Lord on that day shall extend from one end of the earth to the other. They shall not be lamented, or gathered, or buried; they shall become dung on the surface of the ground.
    34 Wail, you shepherds, and cry out;
       roll in ashes, you lords of the flock,
    for the days of your slaughter have come—and your dispersions,
       and you shall fall like a choice vessel.
    35 Flight shall fail the shepherds,
       and there shall be no escape for the lords of the flock.
    36 Hark! the cry of the shepherds,
       and the wail of the lords of the flock!
    For the Lord is despoiling their pasture,
    37   and the peaceful folds are devastated,
       because of the fierce anger of the Lord.
    38 Like a lion he has left his covert;
       for their land has become a waste
    By the sweeping sword,
       by the burning wrath of the Lord. B.

    The Guardian.
    07.24.2023. 7:24. PM. ET.
    07.25.2023. 7:22. AM. ET.
    07.26.2023. 7:20. PM. ET.

    GOD'S WORDS SAID IT FIRST. IF YOU TRULY WANT TO KNOW GOD, STUDY HIS WORDS. ALL OF THEM BEFORE FORMING OPINIONS ABOUT WHAT HE WILL OR WON'T DO. ALL OF THEM. THIS IS YOUR SECOND AND LAST WARNING. THIS EAGLE FLIES WITH THE MASTER OF JUSTICE TONIGHT AND HE WILL DO EXACTLY AS I SAY. YOU CONGRESSMEN ONLY HAVE TILL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT NOW TO GET OUT OF THE HOUSE AND STAY GONE OR LOSE YOUR MINDS.
    I HAVE SPOKEN. MITCH MCCONNELL YOU ONLY HSD A TASTE. GET OUT NOW! OR FOREVER BE A SLAVE. IN THE name of Jesus, Ghavam Forever, let it be. C. B.

    PEACE AND LOVE. B.

    ♎️♎️♎️🌎

  25. kendall tee says:

    You are doing a great job David. I love that you have changed things up. I have been one of your fans for a few years now.

  26. David, don’t explain yourself to anyone. You’re doing just fine, no clickbait or anything else. What I found out is that content creators have separate accounts from their main channel and they find other competitors channels and then they create an illusion that people can’t trust their competitors content which would increase their audience. My next door neighbors have a very popular YouTube channel and they explain that to me the other day. She told me that she ignores them, so maybe you should ignore them as well. Good 👍🏾 job

  27. 2026-2027 would be another drought in California, because we had a small weak el nino very little precipitation, like one in 2006-07

    I think

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